Wouldn't this potentially be more than balanced by reduced propensity for left wing Democrats to hold their nose and vote for Biden, and increased propensity for independents to vote for change … (View Post)

I think Clinton would have beaten McCain reasonably comfortably. It was a difficult election for the Republicans to win against the backdrop of an unpopular president and unfolding financial crisis. … (View Post)

You mean there are still people sticking to their New Year's resolutions this deep into 2024? I wish I shared their willpower. (View Post)

Trump did rather underperform in Iowa in 2016 and it isn't temperamentally terribly Trumpian (although only by a few percentage points - not enough to endanger him given his large polling lead n… (View Post)

If that were to arise due to Biden dying in the next few months, I actually think there is a good chance Harris would romp home on a sympathy vote. A lot is made of Harris's supposed unpopularit… (View Post)