I do like that, whenever this kind of thing is reported, it's "Senior Tories". If you want an insight in these circumstances, the person with the best idea is the nerd on the computer … (View Post)

I like the fact the live blogger is called Barrie White. I trust him to tell me who's first, who's last, and everything. But what candidate heads to the count 40 minutes before polls close?… (View Post)

How often do you think a single leaflet in a by-election campaign has shifted a party's vote that much? It's just totally unrealistic in the context of a by-election with a daily flood of l… (View Post)

Depends on the majority really. Any majority at all would immediately catapult it just above Orpington and into the top 13 swings in UK by-elections. One of those wasn't a gain (Birmingham Hodge… (View Post)

Surely both Sleaford and Old Bexley were Tory by-election holds over the Lib Dems (and everyone else)? Also, it isn't "cocky" to be betting favourites - supporters of all parties are a… (View Post)