SirNorfolkPassmore
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Re: WH2020: Key state turnout as percentage of votes cast – politicalbetting.com
Hmmm. Hancock is surely too weedy to engage in this sort of thing. Gove has form. Sunak has motive. It would be a bit odd (but not totally impossible knowing Cummings) for Johnson to launch an inquir… (View Post)4 -
Re: Remember 2004 when Guardian readers wrote to Ohio voters suggesting they shouldn’t vote for Bush – p
Was there evidence that the move actually worsened Kerry's position in Clark County, though? Whilst quite funny, the reactions in the article are clearly from convinced George W Bush supporters … (View Post)1 -
Re: Three days to go before election day and UK punters still rate Trump as a 34% chance – politicalbett
That feels to me as if they underestimate the possibility of systematic polling error (underweighting a pro-Trump constituency across the board), underestimate reversion to the mean (Trump fairly clo… (View Post)1 -
Re: Three days to go before election day and UK punters still rate Trump as a 34% chance – politicalbett
Historically, they haven't. The gap has opened quite recently. One reason is that four of the five states to have moved to postal only voting are Democrat states, so by definition this shifts th… (View Post)1 -
Re: Trump’s only got himself to blame for doing so badly amongst women – politicalbetting.com
I do too! It's late October FFS. Let's get the pumpkins out of the way and think about poppies in a week or so. (View Post)1