I get why it's difficult to model tactical voting in an MRP, and maybe I rather than the pollsters will have egg on my face rather than them. But a lot of the projected results are not credible … (View Post)

Or if he calls one immediately and everyone votes. (View Post)

The point with an MRP is that it isn't UNS, though. So it is in fact meant to be modelling what particular demographics are doing, and applying it to the demographics of the area - there are reg… (View Post)

On topic, whilst Sunak is in trouble, comparing his perceived (un)likelihood of winning the General Election with that of Truss or Johnson (or indeed himself) a couple of years ago is comparing apple… (View Post)

"Let me tell you, Keith Starmer is a very beautiful man. There was once a big star over there in Britain - not as huge as yours truly but a big star - who wanted to fix it for people and make Br… (View Post)