I'd quibble on several of these points. Firstly, the Tories have not really had good results "against the run of play" in local elections. The results in May were absolutely dire even … (View Post)

On topic, my view is that there is value in the betting on Tim Scott. He is a credible candidate, has done well in fundraising terms, and is significantly outperforming his national polls in early pr… (View Post)

There are a couple of problems with this theory, in my view. Firstly, Trump simply doesn't believe there is a more electable toady. Based on hypothetical polls (which I'm sceptical about bu… (View Post)

With Chinese restaurants, I think the rule of thumb is "the worse the sign the better the restaurant" as the superstition is to get a new sign on moving in as proprietor, but never replace … (View Post)

A jury being out that long often means nine are convinced but there are a couple of hold-outs. The fact a couple of people out of eleven (in this case) means there is doubt... but is it reasonable? T… (View Post)