There's some funny stuff going on here. The exit poll might well turn out to be right on the macro level, but has LOTS of the detail wrong. RefUK sure to win Barnsley? Labour nailed on in Broxbo… (View Post)

He was a Labour defector first, to be fair. The Lib Dems should give him an application form... or perhaps not. (View Post)

That's the wildcard of RefUK. Exit poll had them nearly certain to win Barnsley and they lost badly... and under 50% chance of Ashfield, and they won well. Suspect that reflects ground game, tho… (View Post)

Nope... it was mis-stated. This was Harrogate. Ignore it. (View Post)

Eastleigh a Lib Dem gain... but with a warning. Labour up and a fairly narrow win even though exit poll gave a 99% chance. It's always been a decent enough area for Labour, but LDs will need to … (View Post)