At the risk of egg on my face tomorrow, there is no way in hell that Chalk hangs on. He has a three figure majority and the Conservatives lost the last of their Council seats in Cheltenham in May. He… (View Post)

He remembers the original, of course. Or at least he does on one of his good days. (View Post)

Savanta, Opinium and We Think had them on 2% on basically the same polling dates, with Survation 3% and Norstat 4%. It's just that GB-wide polls are useless on SNP share. The margin of error is … (View Post)

Do remember your dog will require photo ID to vote. Kennel Club membership card is acceptable. (View Post)

I think the vertical is essentially a frequency plot, so the density of dots is the same throughout, secured by the bar getting fatter where there are a lot of seats involved. So 2017, say, has a fai… (View Post)