On topic, I think I'd buy Biden at 281. The reason is not that I am massively confident in Biden winning the Presidency (he's favourite but only narrowly) but that, in the context of spread… (View Post)

Ironically, it's potentially good news for Trump in a sense if his leads in states that aren't going to be pivotal are fairly small as it suggests his vote nationally is efficiently distrib… (View Post)

I reckon she'd be absolutely charming, and something of a feeder, insisting on dialling out for McDonalds, KFC, deep fried lard - whatever the big man wanted, any time if day or night. Anything … (View Post)

They didn't know it'd be a two party system. Indeed, the times when a contingent election has decided it haven't been two-way fights. Also, 538 isn't in the constitution as such -… (View Post)

Very difficult to know. Plenty of countries with similar "British influence" aren't. Plenty without it are. (View Post)