In fairness to Vine (and I hate to be fair to her but will just this once) I don't think she claimed to be publishing an exit poll. To the extent it's based on anything, it'll be Tory … (View Post)

They might prepare several opening presentations, might they not? I mean, there are only so many possibilities. They're not starting with a totally blank sheet of paper. (View Post)

It's not the strong favourite in the sense that Betfair do the votes in bands with over 20% being the top band. So several of the bands give you a couple of percent either way, whereas the top b… (View Post)

We're at the "wild speculation and animal spirits" stage of this election. All good fun. (View Post)

I honestly don't think timing was their problem. They took a bad hand and played it poorly. But they'd have had a similarly bad hand in May, or October, or January, or whenever, and Sunak w… (View Post)