SirNorfolkPassmore
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Unpicking the presidential election forecasts
Utter cultist guff, Philip. It is not business as usual for countries to rip up mildly inconvenient agreements made a few months ago. Unless the country is in an unbelievably strong position economic… (View Post)2 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Unpicking the presidential election forecasts
You are, in fact, saying you want to ignore international law. Whilst you are right domestic law can be made to take precedence over international law, it doesn't CHANGE international law. Now i… (View Post)2 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Unpicking the presidential election forecasts
Not all law is criminal law. A country breaching treaty obligations isn't committing a criminal act, and nor are those lawmakers who are involved. In any event, Parliamentary privilege applies t… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Unpicking the presidential election forecasts
Doesn't that depend on third party votes? He won on 46% versus 48% in 2016 and of course could win on something like that again, but 46% v 53% (say) would be a really huge ask. I know that, math… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Unpicking the presidential election forecasts
I disagree with HYFUD's reliance solely on a pollster that did well in 2016 but poorly in 2018. I've said before and I'll say again that, in a 'surprise' election the pollste… (View Post)1