My reason, ultimately, for thinking the Tory bridge will hold is that the Lib Dems in particular have been badly burned by over-targeting in recent elections. They will therefore be steered by a fair… (View Post)

I'd sell Lib Dem at that level. It's not beyond the realms of possibility but is top end of their targeting approach. I'd probably still buy Tory - suspect the bridge will just about h… (View Post)

Isn't the whole point of MRP that it doesn't imply a uniform swing, and is instead based on demographics, which might include greater switching by Leave voters as the impact of that unwinds… (View Post)

Depends whether our one luxury is a sword or an Excel spreadsheet. (View Post)

Just being signed off by the Kremlin now. Exciting times. (View Post)