It's not the strong favourite in the sense that Betfair do the votes in bands with over 20% being the top band. So several of the bands give you a couple of percent either way, whereas the top b… (View Post)

We're at the "wild speculation and animal spirits" stage of this election. All good fun. (View Post)

I honestly don't think timing was their problem. They took a bad hand and played it poorly. But they'd have had a similarly bad hand in May, or October, or January, or whenever, and Sunak w… (View Post)

Very hard to even say when they lost their 'last' election, due to the split between Asquith and Lloyd-George Liberals. Asquith was practically wiped out in 1918 (so was it that election?),… (View Post)

Do we actually know turnout is high, or is this all anecdotal? This quite often happens at General Elections - people go to the polling station, it's a lot busier than when they voted in the loc… (View Post)