SirNorfolkPassmore
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Re: Biden moves to an 84% chance of victory on the exchanges as the scale of his likely victory becomes
If Biden had lost Wisconsin but within the margin allowing for a recount under Wisconsin law, he'd be calling for one too. I don't dispute your general point about Trump, and think the &quo… (View Post)3 -
Re: The betting at 1136 GMT Nov 4th 2020 – politicalbetting.com
Biden has a reasonably credible route to 300, to be honest. He has 270 blue (called) or light blue (leading but tight) on the maps at this exact moment. Pennsylvania is very uncertain but would be 20… (View Post)2 -
Re: The betting at 1136 GMT Nov 4th 2020 – politicalbetting.com
I think there is a lot of sense in that. I agree the Supreme Court would uphold. There's no personal loyalty there - Gorsuch, Kavanagh and Coney-Barrett have their jobs for life and, whilst they… (View Post)2 -
Re: Trump’s extraordinary on the day voting gamble – politicalbetting.com
Oh, I suspect that's probably true, But, of course, Heard wasn't the one who brought a disastrous libel case. The focus is on Depp's conduct because the newspaper allegations were abou… (View Post)2 -
Re: Trump’s extraordinary on the day voting gamble – politicalbetting.com
Looking at the source data on the US Elections Project, I think actually the blog has missed that particular point. So if you look at large states where everyone receives a postal ballot but you can … (View Post)1