How often do you think a single leaflet in a by-election campaign has shifted a party's vote that much? It's just totally unrealistic in the context of a by-election with a daily flood of l… (View Post)

Depends on the majority really. Any majority at all would immediately catapult it just above Orpington and into the top 13 swings in UK by-elections. One of those wasn't a gain (Birmingham Hodge… (View Post)

Surely both Sleaford and Old Bexley were Tory by-election holds over the Lib Dems (and everyone else)? Also, it isn't "cocky" to be betting favourites - supporters of all parties are a… (View Post)

So the Government's brilliant handling strategy this morning is: - I was as angry as anyone by seeing this appalling video - It was a resignation matter even if Allegra was merely answering a hy… (View Post)

HYUFD appears to be broken. Has anyone tried switching him off, then switching him back on again? (View Post)