I genuinely think he might if he has quite good numbers and midterms, is enjoying life, and feels okay in himself. I think he's 80-90% in himself that he's run his last race, but I don'… (View Post)

McCain was a fine fellow in many ways, but has subsequently been canonised by people because it annoys Trump in a way that isn't totally merited. He was a Washington dealmaker with a nice back-s… (View Post)

Not sure I really see the point of this question. Saying you've confidence in another country's processes does not mean you'd run things in precisely the same way. There are quite a fe… (View Post)

Firstly, utterly nuts to think of Biden as left wing, not only by our standards but also by US standards. He is a moderate, triangulating Democrat. Probably the most centrist living Democrat Presiden… (View Post)

They would because the actual experimental evidence is with the delay it had so the frequentist approach is indeed "we don't have the evidence". But Nate Silver has called this one cor… (View Post)