SirNorfolkPassmore
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Re: Friends, countrymen, lend me your Keirs, this is going to be a long night but who does this higher t
Not a "Southern Democrat" though. That's no bad thing, of course, but it's relevant that realignment changes parties in quite fundamental ways too. They don't just move on to… (View Post)1 -
Re: On the YouGov/Survation split the latter has a record of picking up moves to LAB better – politicalb
Have to say that, from my canvassing, there's not much movement between parties but neither is there a sense of Conservatives feeling highly motivated to turn out. I have a sense of the past 18 … (View Post)5 -
Re: With the Electoral Commission now investigating the decoration costs Johnson has his worst PMQs to d
Let's lock the little bastards down. Permanently. Time to go full King Herod. (View Post)1 -
Re: With the Electoral Commission now investigating the decoration costs Johnson has his worst PMQs to d
The Rudy story is big news, and relevant to 2024 betting. The net tightens. The Ukraine work was clearly undertaken for Trump, who probably knew a lot about it. There's a big incentive for Rudy … (View Post)2 -
Re: With the Electoral Commission now investigating the decoration costs Johnson has his worst PMQs to d
The point in Belfast East in 2010 is the Alliance vote was up 25%, and DUP down 16%. It's almost impossible to model that without significant DUP to Alliance switching. Overall, I simply think y… (View Post)1