On topic, I think Biden is now narrow favourite but it's beginning to get to a position where the value is with Trump at below a 40% implied chance. One reason is that Trump's popularity/un… (View Post)

If Starmer has any sense, he'd give some consideration to how to work with the Lib Dems. The Corbyn approach was to see them as essentially a party of the left that needed to be crushed by const… (View Post)

It certainly wasn't the "original toppling". A statue of General Wickham in Richmond, Virginia, was toppled the previous day and there may well have been others. Also, thank goodness y… (View Post)

Firstly, it probably did help his case - I expect he'd have got a month otherwise. Secondly, it sounds from the story as if he handed himself in because his father recognised him and told him to… (View Post)

OGH says, "What I find remarkable is how little the leader rating change is reflected in the voting figures." I agree and wonder how far that reflects the deep damage Corbyn did to the Labo… (View Post)