The one thing that makes that kind of thing vaguely credible is that Sunak's political antenna is so wayward that you can see him convincing himself that one month's encouraging inflation figures fun… (View Post)

The Conservatives are making a major error in how they are presenting their case on the economy, and I do think the extreme wealth of the PM and (to a lesser but still significant extent) of the Chan… (View Post)

I see what you are saying, but I do think that people sometimes think 1994-97 was easy for Blair simply because he made it look easy - Kinnock had done a lot of the hard yards in detoxifying the Labo… (View Post)

It seems to me that nobody wants to get it at this moment (nor do they want their preferred successor to get it) as they'd be doomed to heavy defeat. So the only options on the table would be a caret… (View Post)

I get why it's difficult to model tactical voting in an MRP, and maybe I rather than the pollsters will have egg on my face rather than them. But a lot of the projected results are not credible (even… (View Post)