Do we actually know turnout is high, or is this all anecdotal? This quite often happens at General Elections - people go to the polling station, it's a lot busier than when they voted in the loc… (View Post)

Labour were down to 52 seats in 1931, losing 235 MPs... and won a massive landslide 14 years later. There was no inevitability about it all, of course, but nor is there that one hammering is goodnigh… (View Post)

No it won't. We'll know the result at 10pm, and it'll almost definitely be either a huge Labour majority or a smaller than expected but perfectly servicable Labour majority. I mean, th… (View Post)

Sure, but there's an obvious reason for that in that the nature of the SNP means they have *zero* wasted votes in places they can't win (i.e. nearly 600 seats in the rest of the UK). Inevit… (View Post)

That still strikes me as unlikely in terms of vote efficiency for the Lib Dems. Their high water mark was 62 seats in 2005, but that was on 22%. Conservatives are much lower now with the RefUK fissur… (View Post)