Rasmussen have long had a reputation for providing every possible polling result over the course of a campaign, such that they can always say "look - we were right (before we were wrong before w… (View Post)

Although she probably is a Trumper, the point she's making is that the neighbourhood by-law apparently prevents any signs. She's behaving like a bit of a prick about it, and she might well … (View Post)

Is Leave.EU really a membership organisation anyway? I thought it was just a campaign group funded largely by Arron Banks and other individuals who have entirely earned the money they donate and have… (View Post)

Looking at their Senate forecasts, I believe 538 use 10% as their cut-off. So Cornyn is "favoured" (88%) to win Texas over Hegar (12%) whereas Hyde-Smith (91%) is "clearly favoured&quo… (View Post)

On topic, there are two possibilities that could lead to punters giving Trump a better chance than polls suggest. Firstly, it could be that the polls are systematically quite a long way off. I think … (View Post)