On topic, people thinking the economy is going to get worse and it actually getting worse are two different things. I mean, it is possible to surprise on the upside as well as the downside. I'm … (View Post)

On topic, there isn't any realistic chance of the Supreme Court ruling that Trump is eligible to run in 2028. The Court has a clear right wing majority, and is wholly capable of coming up with d… (View Post)

If he says something vaguely positive about Rachel Reeves, I can see the British right starting to talk about the 25th Amendment rather than the 22nd! (View Post)

The reason this is nonsense is that the US Constitution now clearly prohibits Presidents serving a third term, whereas British law doesn't for PMs in the UK (and indeed the US didn't until … (View Post)

It doesn't depend approval ratings in terms of conviction. Trump only suffered seven GOP conviction votes in 2020, despite (a) no longer being President and appearing to be on his way out of pub… (View Post)