SirNorfolkPassmore
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Re: Next week things can only get better for Sunak or worse – politicalbetting.com
I don't see that as at all surprising. Those verdicts weren't just consequential for Letby but parents of babies who died. It's quite a big thing to say that someone's premature, potentially struggli… (View Post)2 -
Re: Next week things can only get better for Sunak or worse – politicalbetting.com
Very quick verdicts are almost always not guilty. If a few jurors say, "he's not guilty and I won't vote to convict full stop" it's game over and, however much others may think they are wro… (View Post)1 -
Re: Next week things can only get better for Sunak or worse – politicalbetting.com
I agree. These things aren't massively predictive. But, in general, long deliberations are bad news for the defence. Not guilty verdicts are often very quick. If you go round the jury room and four o… (View Post)1 -
Re: Next week things can only get better for Sunak or worse – politicalbetting.com
I know some "well, he might" opinions have been floated on this, but it seems the consensus is a prison sentence is quite unlikely. On time taken, not guilty verdicts just often come quickl… (View Post)1 -
Re: The Swinney slump doesn’t look like stopping – politicalbetting.com
I'm mindful the final YouGov of the London Mayoral election had Khan leading by 22% and he won by 11%. There may be some reasons for that in that Hall's core vote strategy probably did her some good … (View Post)1