SirNorfolkPassmore
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Re: Why you shouldn’t read too much into small unweighted subsamples – politicalbetting.com
I don't think it will depress his vote, and indeed I suspect it's tactical. Trump and other Republicans need to face both ways on this issue - the pro-life vote is important, but is very mu… (View Post)2 -
Re: After the Veep debate Trump is now the favourite – politicalbetting.com
The YouGov "popularity" polls are dodgy as hell. The methodology is really unclear, and results are way out of line with conventional polls. My favourite feature is that the list misses out… (View Post)1 -
Re: Who will flower in Scotland in 2026? – politicalbetting.com
No, that's right. I can't think of a single case of rampant corruption involving the governing party in Scotland. (View Post)2 -
Re: A basket of unfavourables – politicalbetting.com
Derek Beackon winning the Isle of Dogs for the BNP in 1993 was the only one I can remember. (View Post)1 -
Re: Punters and Fox News say Harris won the debate – politicalbetting.com
The idea with Vance is he has a reasonably authentic white working class story and is quite young (whereas Trump is apparently a billionaire, comes from money, and is elderly). When he was chosen, th… (View Post)1