SirNorfolkPassmore
-
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Unpicking the presidential election forecasts
Not all law is criminal law. A country breaching treaty obligations isn't committing a criminal act, and nor are those lawmakers who are involved. In any event, Parliamentary privilege applies t… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Unpicking the presidential election forecasts
Doesn't that depend on third party votes? He won on 46% versus 48% in 2016 and of course could win on something like that again, but 46% v 53% (say) would be a really huge ask. I know that, math… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Unpicking the presidential election forecasts
I disagree with HYFUD's reliance solely on a pollster that did well in 2016 but poorly in 2018. I've said before and I'll say again that, in a 'surprise' election the pollste… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The polling continues to look solid for Biden
Some people react like that, but I think a lot of people (me included) simply say that although Moore undoubtedly wants the Democrats to win, his strategy for doing so probably isn't right and w… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The polling continues to look solid for Biden
Isn't Moore's argument just a version of the Corbynist "focus on the core vote and driving up turnout among low turnout groups"? Clinton suffered both from low turnout among Democ… (View Post)2