I think one of two things happens: 1. Reform consistently poll 30%+, and as the next election approaches, they gradually draw in support from remaining Conservatives, moving up to 35%+. The main cent… (View Post)
According to Electoral Calculus, the Reform vote share becomes very efficient, once they go beyond 25%. A result of Reform and Labour 34% each, Con 12%, Lib Dem 11%, Green 3%, gives Reform 330 seats … (View Post)
I never set much store by hypothetical polls. Remember all the polls saying that many Republicans would switch from Trump if he were convicted of a felony? In the end, none of them did. (View Post)
Farage’s attitude towards Putin is what deters me from supporting Reform. Pretty well everyone I befriended through the Conservatives has now joined Reform. (View Post)