The right wing fringe parties seem quite unable to match their showing in opinion polls in real elections, which is a minor piece of encouragement for the Conservatives. (View Post)

I think Labour won Uxbridge in 1945 and 1966. In 1997 and last night, it was close but no cigar. (View Post)

Nowhere near enough to win. And, there are places where the Conservatives are doing worse than in the mid 90's, like Westminster, Wandsworth, and Surrey. But given the choice, between the mid 90… (View Post)

IMHO, the Lib Dems will hold Somerton & Frome at the GE, given its history, but Shropshire North will be much harder. (View Post)

Overall a very bad night for the Conservatives, but it could have been worse. My take from this and the local elections, is that there is a certain kind of seat, suburban, or semi-urban, well-off but… (View Post)