If Reform were to poll close to say, 20%, it would be extremely hard to model what that would mean in terms of seats. It might mean nothing, or it might mean dozens. My suspicion is that if Reform ac… (View Post)

Farage might also gain vote share for Reform, by enthusing don't knows/won't votes. (View Post)

I rather like the idea of wolves on the Ashridge estate (which is teeming with deer), but I expect I'm in a very small minority. (View Post)

Sunak’s basic problem is that most people hate him. But, he’s really carrying the can for the incompetence of May, Johnson, and Truss. (View Post)

The difference is that Le Pen has now totally eclipsed Les Republicains, and other rival right wing parties. French voters no longer use the two-round voting system to keep out her candidates. (View Post)