People get pissed off at the government and join their main opponent. The Conservative and Labour parties have often been pronounced “dead” in my lifetime. Our system provides space for one right win… (View Post)

I expect SDLP will vanish at the next election, losing Foyle to Sinn Fein, and South Belfast to Alliance. The latest poll from Lucid Talk puts them at 6%. (View Post)

The 2027 round of local elections is going to be astonishingly good for the Conservatives, on a par with years like 1976/77. (View Post)

What matters is people, not electoral systems. PR is not a magic pill. There are countries whose politicians are elected by PR and are well-governed. And there are some who are appallingly governed. … (View Post)

I'd say it was on its way out, once South Africa, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand became independent in 1931. (View Post)