It seems to me that at least five of the Justices will give Trump the benefit of the doubt. They could rule that the question - whether Trump is guilty of insurrection - is a question of fact, to be … (View Post)

I'd give Biden the edge, but only by 11/9, in terms of odds. Sean Trende, who I take very seriously, makes Trump the slight favourite. (View Post)

Lincoln was not fighting to end slavery (until 1863). But, the South was definitely fighting to maintain and hopefully, expand), it. The various Articles of Secession, and Alexander Stephens' Co… (View Post)

I think he'll take Georgia too, which will make things extremely tight. Like you, I don't want a Trump win, but I wouldn't be surprised by it. (View Post)

I saw it in the Cinema, and was hugely impressed. I'm definitely going to Part 2. (View Post)