Nothing suggests to me that the UK is somehow insulated from the rise of populist right wing parties, in a way that other Western democracies are not. The main bar to any new party is the FPTP system… (View Post)

I’m sceptical that “nice Britain/centrist dads” will all unite to keep out Reform. It seems to me that Reform are getting support from (a) people unhappy about mega-immigration (b) voters who want to… (View Post)

Yes. I think it is profoundly improbable that compliance with the ICJ ruling on DG would have the slightest bearing on the situation in Ukraine. (View Post)

Re Farage v Starmer, at this point, I’d expect Starmer to win. In fact, I’d expect a1924 - type result. A big win for Labour, with Reform establishing dominance on the Right, and winning heavily in S… (View Post)

Steppe horsemen had perfected a form of warfare - combining the use of heavy and light cavalry, over vast distances. Because they were herders, living off vast flocks of sheep and goats, they could t… (View Post)