A house price boom contributed hugely towards Labour's wins in 2001, 2005, and modest defeat in 2010. Then the beneficiaries switched over to the Tories. The Tories, post 2010, - as usual - were… (View Post)

It's too late to replace Biden. (View Post)

There was nothing unusual about RN's first round vote share, 19%, in 2022. What was unusual was the willingness of voters to support their candidates in round 2, whereas in the past, they tended… (View Post)

In the end, I’ll likely vote Conservative, grudgingly. I think there’s a fair chance that Reform will poll 10% or so, and the Conservatives 25% or so. With Labour on 40% or just under, that would sec… (View Post)

I came out as slightly pro-Ukraine, and very pro-Palestine, which suggests it's not a very good test. The problem was that agree/disagree is not a good answer to any of the questions. (View Post)