Khan is more likely to win by about 14-15% than 22%. (View Post)

It was one sixth of the total, but they chose areas where UKIP did well. Even in Sunderland, they did not run the Conservatives close (but likely cost them one seat). (View Post)

Yes. I think it shows that their vote share in the polls does not exist on the ground. They can win 15% or so, in their best areas, but not across the board. (View Post)

In my 56 years, I’ve reached the conclusion that there is no limit to human stupidity. In politics, the two worst forms of stupidity are: 1. Cutting off one’s nose to spite one’s face (hence left win… (View Post)

My overall take on the results is that they are very good for Labour, and very bad for the Conservatives, but not as bad as those of the 1993-96 period, overall. The Conservatives are a lot less weak… (View Post)