If the Tories win 100-149, and hold Harrow East, then I make a profit of £137.50. (View Post)

It's hard to see how the Lib Dems finish ahead of the Conservatives on half the vote share. Averaging 12 eve of polls (and excluding the MRP's) we get Labour 38.8% Conservative 21.0%, Refor… (View Post)

Nick went from supporting Corbyn in 2017/19 to supporting Nigel today. (View Post)

Yes, not people who voted Labour in 2019, but Con voters from 2019, who were previously intending to vote Labour. (View Post)

I’ve bet £50 on the Conservatives winning 100-149, at 9/4. £50 on the Conservatives winning 150-199, at 11/2. £25 on Bob Blackman retaining Harrow East at 3/1. (View Post)