Given how quickly the jury acquitted him, and frankly, how overwhelming the evidence was, I'm surprised that the CPS were able to conclude there was a better than 50% chance of obtaining a convi… (View Post)

And, if you subtract about 2.5% from Biden's lead, Trump wins. (View Post)

Ipsos is a good pollster, but Morning Consult is 107th on 538's rating. It's not just the junk pollsters who are showing a tight race. Suffolk, Emerson, and Fox are all very good pollsters.… (View Post)

Feelgood legislation has terrible effects. Governments pass laws that earn plaudits from pressure groups, while saddling local authorities with the cost of implementing them. Eventually, the authorit… (View Post)

I think your understanding of US politics is deficient. To a UK centrist, what US voters should care about is abortion, abortion, abortion. But, that's not how US voters see matters. (View Post)