I think that affluent Lib Dem voting areas would be largely immune to voting Reform. I think that would also be true of Inner London, Inner Birmingham, Liverpool City, Welsh-speaking Wales, rural Sco… (View Post)

Last night, Reform won three out of three contests (and three three town council seats, in Barrow-in-Furness). What every one had in common was being Labour v Reform. Reform can beat Labour by (a) ca… (View Post)

@Dura_Ace made the interesting point, some weeks ago, that in Russian nationalist circles, Russia's territorial gains to date will seem like a very poor return on the losses that Russia has suff… (View Post)

And, if you enjoy a racist rant, I suspect that AI can provide that, too. (View Post)

At this point, if you asked me what I expect at the next election, it would be something like: Labour 260 seats, Reform 210, Lib Dems 80, Conservatives 40, Greens 4, Sultanas 10, Others 46. (View Post)