Last August, I discussed it with Saul David, and we thought it was 11/9 in Biden’s favour, which is where I’d now place Harris. (View Post)

Americans don’t see it as a strong economy. That’s why Trump is favoured on the issue. Today’s swing State polls from Emerson show it’s still a coin-toss. Trump is just ahead in Wisconsin, N Carolina… (View Post)

New Labour did everything in its power to prevent a Conservative revival. Current Labour is doing all in its power to promote a Conservative revival. I’m quite confident that a year from now, the Con… (View Post)

Overwhelmingly, it’s the Conservatives who in second place in Labour seats. (View Post)

My view is that by the time of next May’s local elections, Starmer’s ratings will be similar to Sunak’s, the low twenties. The Conservatives may still go backwards, given how good the 2021 results we… (View Post)