We have one bit of hard data, the Washington Primary. As Sean Trende pointed out, that's consistent with Harris winning about 48%, on the day. Win or lose, that implies a very tight result. Noth… (View Post)

The one exception being the Danish Social Democrats, who adopted some of the toughest laws on immigration and integration of any Western democracy, and won back droves of supporters from the Peoples&… (View Post)

Labour have fallen back in Scotland, but with the Conservatives and Reform polling 25% between them, a Unionist majority would appear likely. (View Post)

The poll implies that about 20% are planning to vote independent. Sinn Fein lost sight of the fact that many Irish Republicans are in fact, pretty right wing. (View Post)

I’m amazed at how rapidly this government has come apart. (View Post)