Relying upon “snorkelling” Republicans for Harris is a very thin straw to be clutching. (View Post)

South Korea will likely release hundreds of thousands of artillery shells to Ukraine, so probably a net loss to Russia. (View Post)

Much of the commentary I’ve read hitherto, predicting a big Harris victory, is that she does well among voters with a high propensity to vote (essentially, the college-educated), whereas Trump gets t… (View Post)

Maybe I’m wrong, but I would not count upon Harris Republicans as being anything other than a minute slice of electorate. Nevada Republicans will vote Republican, as near as makes no difference. But,… (View Post)

Both Emerson and Selzer are excellent pollsters, rated 10th and 12th respectively by 538. (View Post)