Florida doesn't look at all close (okay, you may get snorkelling Republicans, and independents breaking for the Democrats, but nowhere near enough to overturn that margin). And, that is (qualifi… (View Post)

Gubernatorial races are the one set of races that often produce a result at variance with the State's political lean (so you can get Republicans winning Vermont or Massachussetts, Democrats winn… (View Post)

I would be happier if I were a Democratic organiser in Georgia, than a Republican. But, there are two issues: 1. If turnout matches 2020, there are 750,000 votes still to come on the day. We don'… (View Post)

I’ve never believed that more than 20% or so of people read for pleasure. I’m always surprised by the number who say they read because they have to, not because they enjoy it. (View Post)

Poland is too powerful. But, yes, everything about Putin suggests that his appetite for fresh conquest is fuelled by successful conquest. I favour Realism in foreign affairs. Give victory to an aggre… (View Post)