There are 47% or so, who currently support either the Conservatives or Reform. The government does not want to get those voters choosing one or the other, to stop them, or else, voting tactically for… (View Post)

Which is stupid, given that the Liberals are winning. (View Post)

Economic growth *ought* to be reasonable, between now and 2029, simply because external shocks have kept it so anaemic, in the first half of the decade. The economy grew by 1%, between November and F… (View Post)

O/T the Canadian elections, oddly, the Conservatives' vote share would be enough to win, in normal circumstances, at c.39% on average. It's just, the circumstances are not normal, and the n… (View Post)

I think the peak could be quite a high one, and I think their trajectory will be similar to that of Sinn Fein, in the last Irish Parliament. At one point, they had a very clear lead as the protest pa… (View Post)