I think that Reform would have swept Hastings, Wealden, and Rother, giving them an overall majority on East Sussex. I expect they'd have reached largest party status in West Sussex, sweeping Cra… (View Post)

Had the Metroplitan Boroughs, and urban unitary authorities been contested, it would have been a bloodbath for Labour. (View Post)

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c5yg467m8mjo An interesting piece from Sir John Curtice. Reform’s vote is sufficiently concentrated for them to benefit strongly under FPTP. (View Post)

I think that’s wishful thinking. There’s no reason to believe that any large group of right wing voters would switch to left wing parties to stop Reform, nor that any large group of left wing voters … (View Post)

This is a betting site. Wishful thinking has no place in betting. (View Post)