I think Rob Ford’s analysis is spot on. I can’t see Reform polling above 33% here. And, Labour should not be throwing in the towel. (View Post)

And now the Workers Party are standing, they’ll siphon off some of the left wing vote from the Greens and Labour. I’m guessing that Reform will win about 35%; Workers Party 10%; Con and Lib Dem’s 5%.… (View Post)

One thing that struck me, reading Yougov’s combined data for December/January, is that right wing support is now a lot greater among lower earners than higher earners. That probably means that Gorton… (View Post)

The other FON poll outlines the problem. Burnham would hold the Greater Manchester mayoralty (albeit with a big swing against), but if he stands down, Labour might well lose it to Reform. And, it… (View Post)

Find Out Now have Reform on 36% across Greater Manchester, to 24% for Labour. That makes it very reasonable for the NEC to say they don’t want a Mayoral by election, (View Post)