I rather like the idea of wolves on the Ashridge estate (which is teeming with deer), but I expect I'm in a very small minority. (View Post)

Sunak’s basic problem is that most people hate him. But, he’s really carrying the can for the incompetence of May, Johnson, and Truss. (View Post)

The difference is that Le Pen has now totally eclipsed Les Republicains, and other rival right wing parties. French voters no longer use the two-round voting system to keep out her candidates. (View Post)

The combined right wing vote share was 51% in 2015, and 47% in 2019. Given a period of Labour unpopularity, and those vote shares could re-emerge. Electorates are (as we see) highly volatile now. (View Post)

Yougov MRP has Labour 43%, Con 25%, Lib Dem 11%, Reform 10%. (View Post)