Three way contests are not very common. To qualify, you need 12.5% of the electorate, and most 3rd placed candidates, who qualify, usually drop out. On current polling, LREM won’t be getting to the s… (View Post)

Why would centrist Tories support a party to the left of Labour? (View Post)

The Conservatives’ “campaign” is the worst I’ve ever witnessed. Sunak would be over-promoted even as a borough councillor. Labour ran a much better campaign in 1983. (View Post)

Well, good luck. I’d vote for the best pro-Union candidate, if I lived in Scotland. (View Post)

The polls from Focaldata and Savanta point to a terrible Conservative defeat, but not a terminal event, as 1924 was for the Liberals. The French general election, OTOH, may be the most consequential … (View Post)