I think that a purely consultative referendum (subject to a later second vote) would have resulted in a huge win for Leave, because it was a free hit. But that would then have generated huge momentum… (View Post)

Added to that. To the pure, all things are pure. (View Post)

It seems to me that at least five of the Justices will give Trump the benefit of the doubt. They could rule that the question - whether Trump is guilty of insurrection - is a question of fact, to be … (View Post)

I'd give Biden the edge, but only by 11/9, in terms of odds. Sean Trende, who I take very seriously, makes Trump the slight favourite. (View Post)

Lincoln was not fighting to end slavery (until 1863). But, the South was definitely fighting to maintain and hopefully, expand), it. The various Articles of Secession, and Alexander Stephens' Co… (View Post)