You’re starting with an overall Right vote of 31% in Caerphilly, from 2024, and 20%, from 2021. The median constituency has a Right vote of 40%, from 2024. The Conservative vote in Caerphilly switche… (View Post)

Plaid won’t sweep Wales. Even if we repeat the Caerphilly result across the country, Reform and Plaid finish on 32% each. Nor am I convinced that the SNP will sweep Scotland, either. A lot of polling… (View Post)

If the Greens were a clear second, in 2029, I think Reform would win comfortably, More voters would opt for Reform than for a party of the far left. (View Post)

There was a lack of basic decency, there. (View Post)

Those Open Council Data numbers are staggering. The Conservatives have lost 38 councillors, and Labour 28, in October alone. (View Post)