Both Emerson and Selzer are excellent pollsters, rated 10th and 12th respectively by 538. (View Post)

David Tennant proves that he is an arsehole. (View Post)

But, his remark about Kemi Badenoch was disgraceful. He doesn’t get a pass. (View Post)

If Trump wins the Sunbelt plus Georgia (which you’d expect on current polling), and Harris wins the Rustbelt (likewise), that makes it 268 - 269 in the EC, with the result turning on Omaha. (View Post)

It’s hard to see the Conservatives not losing seats (and some councils), to the Lib Dems, in May 2025. They are performing better, relative to 2022-24, but not relative to 2021. As against that, they… (View Post)