Real concern, in my case. I truly wish that people would drop the wishful thinking that Harris’ GOTV operation, or never-Trump Republicans, are going to gift her the election, or that the tightening … (View Post)

There are five pollsters over the past week, who 538 give a rating of 2.6 out of 3 or above to. Ipsos 3% Harris lead. Suffolk 1%. Emerson 1%. Fox -2% Atlas Intelligence -3%. Averaging those numbers g… (View Post)

Even Republicans who don't like Trump almost all vote Republican. (View Post)

Edit: Yougov also give a 3% lead. That puts Harris up 0.5%, with the top-rated pollsters. (View Post)

Early voting in Nevada does look bad for Harris, but you can never tell if Republicans are simply switching over to advance voting, instead of leaving it till the day. (View Post)