Crossover in US Senate Polymarket, Dems now favourites to take it in the mid-terms. https://x.com/kobeissiletter/status/2040431890306318453 Looking at the actual races I can’t see it, Dems take Texas… (View Post)

It’s the American version of the ConHome member polling. Among members of or attendees at CPAC, a massive Republican convention, it’s probably about right. There is something of a split starting to a… (View Post)

Happy Easter PB, may you all have a great day whatever you are doing. For some it will be church, for others hunting eggs around the garden or the local park, going for Sunday Lunch, visiting family,… (View Post)

The US is not about to nuke Iran, except in the minds of some bored London flint-knappers. (View Post)

Even when the alternative is $200 oil, if they can get any at all? (View Post)