Or it mainly went to Sunak, who also lent out a chunk of his vote to Truss to guarantee Badenoch was eliminated (the candidate he was weakest against) now in the final round he can choose his opponen… (View Post)
Why would they go to Texas? There's marginal down ballot advantages of winning big, you get to be president for four years whether you win with 270 or 413 so make sure you secure 270. They are campai… (View Post)
Nate Silver posted this in May 2017. https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861945983143469056?s=20 https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861948043565969409?s=20 I'd argue it has held for UK ele… (View Post)
The question is how the Bloomberg vote holds up. Movement from Bloomberg -> Biden puts Biden over top in North Carolina and close in Texas based on those polls. There is a Black vote in North Caro… (View Post)