Sagand

The results so far aren't out of line with the YouGov MRP which had the losses Lib - > Cons in Newfoundland but an overall Lib majority, still a long way to go. https://yougov.co.uk/politics/artic… (View Post)

Or it mainly went to Sunak, who also lent out a chunk of his vote to Truss to guarantee Badenoch was eliminated (the candidate he was weakest against) now in the final round he can choose his opponen… (View Post)

Why would they go to Texas? There's marginal down ballot advantages of winning big, you get to be president for four years whether you win with 270 or 413 so make sure you secure 270. They are campai… (View Post)

Nate Silver posted this in May 2017. https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861945983143469056?s=20 https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861948043565969409?s=20 I'd argue it has held for UK ele… (View Post)

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1236786364026441729?s=20 (View Post)